2021-22 NBA Predictions
ผู้เขียน: | เวลา:2022-11-24 18:05 | เรียกดู:

These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Our player-basedRAPTORforecast doesnt account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on ourNBA player projections, which estimate each players future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. These are combined with up-to-date depth charts tracking injuries, trades and other player transactions to generate talent estimates for each team. A teams full-strength rating assumes all of its key players are in the lineup. A teams current rating reflects any injuries and rest days in effect at the moment of the teams next game. Elo ratings which power the pure Elo forecast are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent.Read more »

Game metrics are on a 0-100 scale. Quality is determined by the harmonic mean of the teams Elo ratings; importance measures how much the result will alter playoff projections; the overall number is the average of the quality and importance values.

Download data. For historical team ratings, see theComplete History Of The NBA.

Design and development byJay Boice. Statistical model byNate SilverJay BoiceandNeil Paine. Marc Finn and Andres Waters contributed research. Illustration by Elias Stein.

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